Live ledger
Public MLB bets logged at lock-time, graded against closing line and final result. ML + spread markets. Started 2026-05-28. Last grading: 2026-05-30.
Closing line value
Cumulative average CLV across all graded bets. Positive = lock odds beat the closing line. This is what we optimize for; daily ROI variance is downstream of it.
Cumulative ROI on stake
Cumulative profit ÷ cumulative wagered, after each settled bet. Dashed line at 0% = breakeven.
Bankroll
Virtual $100,000 starting bankroll. Real bet sizing on real odds. Dashed line marks the starting balance.
Recent bets
Newest first. Odds locked at logging time; closing odds fetched after the game starts.
| Date | Game | Bet | Lock | Close | CLV | Res | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-30 | PHI @ LAD | Spread away +1.5 | 1.50 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | ARI @ SEA | Spread away +1.5 | 1.56 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | SFG @ COL | ML home | 1.98 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | SFG @ COL | Spread home +1.5 | 1.64 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | ATL @ CIN | ML away | 1.76 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | ATL @ CIN | Spread away -1.5 | 2.26 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | MIA @ NYM | Spread home -1.5 | 2.72 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | LAA @ TBR | Spread home -1.5 | 2.46 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | MIN @ PIT | Spread home -1.5 | 2.52 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | TOR @ BAL | Spread away -1.5 | 2.46 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | KCR @ TEX | Spread home -1.5 | 2.76 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | SDP @ WSN | ML home | 2.10 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | SDP @ WSN | Spread home +1.5 | 1.61 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-30 | DET @ CHW | Spread home +1.5 | 1.58 | — | — | · | — |
| 05-29 | ARI @ SEA | ML away | 2.28 | 2.20 | +1.59pp | L | −$347.53 |
| 05-29 | ARI @ SEA | Spread away +1.5 | 1.58 | 1.56 | +0.74pp | W | +$467.32 |
| 05-29 | SFG @ COL | Spread home +1.5 | 1.88 | 1.79 | +2.56pp | W | +$316.73 |
| 05-29 | KCR @ TEX | Spread home -1.5 | 2.72 | 2.72 | 0.00pp | W | +$1,024.60 |
| 05-29 | DET @ CHW | Spread home +1.5 | 1.59 | 1.54 | +1.89pp | W | +$387.30 |
| 05-29 | CHC @ STL | Spread home +1.5 | 1.62 | 1.65 | −1.10pp | W | +$328.93 |
| 05-29 | SDP @ WSN | Spread home +1.5 | 1.52 | 1.51 | +0.43pp | L | −$620.66 |
| 05-28 | HOU @ TEX | Spread home -1.5 | 2.60 | 2.52 | +1.22pp | L | −$1,500 |
| 05-28 | CHC @ PIT | Spread home -1.5 | 2.33 | 2.26 | +1.33pp | L | −$1,500 |
| 05-28 | TOR @ BAL | Spread home -1.5 | 2.61 | 2.64 | −0.44pp | L | −$1,500 |
| 05-28 | ATL @ BOS | ML home | 2.22 | 2.14 | +1.68pp | L | −$549.10 |
| 05-28 | ATL @ BOS | Spread away -1.5 | 2.31 | 2.34 | −0.56pp | W | +$1,808.72 |
| 05-28 | MIN @ CHW | ML home | 1.69 | 1.56 | +4.82pp | W | +$804.27 |
| 05-28 | MIN @ CHW | Spread home -1.5 | 2.48 | 2.25 | +4.12pp | W | +$2,220 |
| 05-28 | LAA @ DET | Spread home -1.5 | 2.59 | 2.46 | +2.04pp | L | −$1,500 |
ML + spread only. Bets logged at lock-time on real odds from listed sportsbooks; closing odds fetched from the same book when available. A missing closing odds entry means the matching line wasn't on the board at close — we don't substitute alternates. CLV is shown in percentage points (pp) of implied probability — +2pp means a price two points better than where the line closed. See methodology for what we measure and why.